MLB / mlb / live
NYY 8 / HOU 3NYYNew York Yankees55%
HOUHouston Astros45%
at Daikin Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYYAway starterRyan Weathers
Model pickNYY moneyline55%Model 20260414_1
HOUHome starterMike Burrows
NYY55%ML -150
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability58%Selected moneyline pick
HOU45%ML +128
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total9.0
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-150 / +128NYY / HOU moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-125)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -119 / U -105
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total