Back to board

MLB / mlb / live

STL 9 / HOU 4
STLSt. Louis Cardinals37%
HOUHouston Astros63%

at Daikin Park

Live MLB Moneyline

Updated
STLAway starterKyle Leahy
Model pickHOU moneyline63%Model 20260414_1
HOUHome starterPeter Lambert
STL37%ML +118
Base model probability63%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability56%Selected moneyline pick
HOU63%ML -141

Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.

Projection Context

Projected margin1.3
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver

Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.

Odds & Market Context

Market consensus+118 / -141STL / HOU moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+154)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -116 / U -105
31 books29 ML24 run line21 total