MLB / mlb / live
COL 6 / HOU 7COLColorado Rockies36%
HOUHouston Astros64%
at Daikin Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCOLAway starterMichael Lorenzen
Model pickHOU moneyline64%Model 20260414_1
HOUHome starterSpencer Arrighetti
COL36%ML +155
Base model probability64%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability62%Selected moneyline pick
HOU64%ML -185
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.4
Projected total8.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+155 / -185COL / HOU moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+110)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -120 / U +100
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total