MLB / mlb / live
PIT 7 / DET 8PITPittsburgh Pirates46%
DETDetroit Tigers54%
at Comerica Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedPITAway starterBubba ChandlerConfirmed
Model pickDET moneyline54%Model 20260921_auto
DETHome starterJackson JobeConfirmed
PIT46%ML 0
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
DET54%ML -118
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total8.2
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Bubba ChandlerPIT starter / away
Projected K4.5Actual 2 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -125 betmgm / U +105 fanatics7 books at this line
Model over 4.546%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.581%under
O 3.564%under
O 4.546%under
O 5.529%under
O 6.517%under
O 7.59%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Jackson JobeDET starter / home
Projected K5.2Actual 8 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +124 fanduel / U -145 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 5.541%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.588%over
O 3.575%over
O 4.558%over
O 5.541%over
O 6.527%over
O 7.516%over
O 8.59%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus0 / -118PIT / DET moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-186)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -109 / U -112
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total