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MLB / mlb / live

scheduled
WSNWashington Nationals44%
DETDetroit Tigers56%

at Comerica Park

Live MLB Moneyline

Updated
WSNAway starterDJ HerzProbable
Model pickDET moneyline56%Model 20260914_auto
DETHome starterRiver RyanProbable
WSN44%ML +130
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability58%Selected moneyline pick
DET56%ML -156

Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.

Projection Context

Projected margin0.2
Projected total8.4
Market total8.5
Total leanUnder

Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.

Pitcher Strikeout Forecast

Updated
Market
DJ HerzWSN starter / away
Projected K4.2
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%
O 2.578%
O 3.559%
O 4.541%
O 5.525%
O 6.514%
O 7.57%
O 8.53%
O 9.51%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%

Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.

River RyanDET starter / home
Projected K3.4
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.585%
O 2.566%
O 3.545%
O 4.527%
O 5.514%
O 6.57%
O 7.53%
O 8.51%
O 9.50%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%

Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.

Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.

Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame

Market consensus+130 / -156WSN / DET moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+134)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O +100 / U -120
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total