MLB / mlb / live
scheduledMINMinnesota Twins54%
DETDetroit Tigers46%
at Comerica Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMINAway starterZebby MatthewsProbable
Model pickMIN moneyline54%Model 20260907_auto
DETHome starterKeider MonteroProbable
MIN54%ML +109
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability46%Selected moneyline pick
DET46%ML -131
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total9.3
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Zebby MatthewsMIN starter / away
Projected K4.6
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%
O 2.582%
O 3.566%
O 4.548%
O 5.531%
O 6.519%
O 7.510%
O 8.55%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Keider MonteroDET starter / home
Projected K3.7
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%
O 2.571%
O 3.550%
O 4.532%
O 5.518%
O 6.59%
O 7.54%
O 8.52%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus+109 / -131MIN / DET moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+154)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -110 / U -110
30 books29 ML22 run line22 total