Back to board

MLB / mlb / live

MIN 4 / DET 5
MINMinnesota Twins52%
DETDetroit Tigers48%

at Comerica Park

Live MLB Moneyline

Updated
MINAway starterJoe RyanConfirmed
Model pickMIN moneyline52%Model 20260907_auto
DETHome starterTroy MeltonConfirmed
MIN52%ML +103
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
DET48%ML -120

Projection Context

Projected margin0.4
Projected total8.8
Market total8.0
Total leanOver

Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.

Pitcher Strikeout Forecast

Updated
Market
Lines
Joe RyanMIN starter / away
Projected K4.9
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%
O 2.585%
O 3.571%
O 4.553%
O 5.536%
O 6.523%
O 7.513%
O 8.57%
O 9.53%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%

Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.

Troy MeltonDET starter / home
Projected K4.9
Best price at 3.53.5O -170 bovada / U +134 fanduel2 books at this line
Model over 3.570%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%
O 2.585%
O 3.570%
O 4.553%
O 5.536%
O 6.523%
O 7.513%
O 8.57%
O 9.53%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%

Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.

Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.

Odds & Market Context Closing odds

Market consensus+103 / -120MIN / DET moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+163)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML24 run line24 total