MLB / mlb / live
CHW 9 / DET 5CHWChicago White Sox47%
DETDetroit Tigers53%
at Comerica Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHWAway starterSean NewcombConfirmed
Model pickDET moneyline53%Model 20260810_auto
DETHome starterJackson JobeConfirmed
CHW47%ML +117
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
DET53%ML -137
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total8.7
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Sean NewcombCHW starter / away
Projected K3.4Actual 2 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.584%over
O 2.565%under
O 3.543%under
O 4.525%under
O 5.513%under
O 6.56%under
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Jackson JobeDET starter / home
Projected K4.7Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -115 betmgm / U +100 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 4.551%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.584%over
O 3.568%over
O 4.551%under
O 5.534%under
O 6.521%under
O 7.512%under
O 8.56%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+117 / -137CHW / DET moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+145)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -109 / U -110
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total