MLB / mlb / live
BAL 8 / DET 5BALBaltimore Orioles45%
DETDetroit Tigers55%
at Comerica Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBALAway starterKyle BradishConfirmed
Model pickDET moneyline55%Model 20260727_auto
DETHome starterKeider MonteroConfirmed
BAL45%ML +105
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
DET55%ML -124
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Kyle BradishBAL starter / away
Projected K5.1Actual 4 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -118 betmgm / U +100 bovada5 books at this line
Model over 5.540%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.587%over
O 3.573%over
O 4.557%under
O 5.540%under
O 6.526%under
O 7.515%under
O 8.58%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Keider MonteroDET starter / home
Projected K4.4Actual 1 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -110 fanatics / U +100 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 4.545%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%under
O 2.581%under
O 3.564%under
O 4.545%under
O 5.529%under
O 6.517%under
O 7.59%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+105 / -124BAL / DET moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+158)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -107 / U -113
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total