MLB / mlb / live
OAK 1 / DET 4OAKOakland Athletics47%
DETDetroit Tigers53%
at Comerica Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedOAKAway starterJosé SuarezConfirmed
Model pickDET moneyline53%Model 20260706_auto
DETHome starterFramber ValdezConfirmed
OAK47%ML +108
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability54%Selected moneyline pick
DET53%ML -126
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.1
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
José SuarezOAK starter / away
Projected K3.8Actual 2 K
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%over
O 2.572%under
O 3.552%under
O 4.534%under
O 5.519%under
O 6.510%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Framber ValdezDET starter / home
Projected K4.6Actual 9 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +125 fanatics / U -154 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 5.531%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.583%over
O 3.566%over
O 4.548%over
O 5.531%over
O 6.519%over
O 7.510%over
O 8.55%over
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+108 / -126OAK / DET moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+154)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -110 / U -111
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total