MLB / mlb / live
OAK 1 / DET 6OAKOakland Athletics40%
DETDetroit Tigers60%
at Comerica Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedOAKAway starterJeffrey SpringsConfirmed
Model pickDET moneyline60%Model 20260706_auto
DETHome starterTroy MeltonConfirmed
OAK40%ML +116
Base model probability60%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability56%Selected moneyline pick
DET60%ML -139
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total9.1
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Jeffrey SpringsOAK starter / away
Projected K4.3Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +115 betonlineag / U -120 betrivers6 books at this line
Model over 4.543%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.580%over
O 3.562%over
O 4.543%under
O 5.527%under
O 6.516%under
O 7.58%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Troy MeltonDET starter / home
Projected K4.3Actual 9 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -135 bovada / U +123 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 4.543%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.580%over
O 3.562%over
O 4.543%over
O 5.527%over
O 6.515%over
O 7.58%over
O 8.54%over
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+116 / -139OAK / DET moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+136)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -102 / U -117
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total