MLB / mlb / live
OAK 2 / DET 6OAKOakland Athletics39%
DETDetroit Tigers61%
at Comerica Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedOAKAway starterJ.T. GinnConfirmed
Model pickDET moneyline61%Model 20260706_auto
DETHome starterTarik SkubalConfirmed
OAK39%ML +184
Base model probability61%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability66%Selected moneyline pick
DET61%ML -222
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.0
Projected total8.8
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
J.T. GinnOAK starter / away
Projected K5.0Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -134 draftkings / U +115 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 4.554%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.586%over
O 3.572%over
O 4.554%under
O 5.538%under
O 6.524%under
O 7.514%under
O 8.57%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Tarik SkubalDET starter / home
Projected K6.6Actual 9 K / Over 8.5
Best price at 8.58.5O +122 draftkings / U -140 fanatics4 books at this line
Model over 8.522%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.595%over
O 3.588%over
O 4.577%over
O 5.563%over
O 6.548%over
O 7.534%over
O 8.522%over
O 9.514%under
O 10.58%under
O 11.54%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+184 / -222OAK / DET moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-104)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total