MLB / mlb / live
LAA 7 / DET 1LAALos Angeles Angels52%
DETDetroit Tigers48%
at Comerica Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLAAAway starterGrayson Rodriguez
Model pickLAA moneyline52%Model 20260414_1
DETHome starterJack Flaherty
LAA52%ML +112
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
DET48%ML -134
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#4
Total lean · analyst-timeNo total lean
Model-market gap · analyst-time7.2 pts
Model likes LAA at 52.2% but market strongly favors DET at 55%. Rodriguez has no season stats (null ERA/IP/K9), making away starter evaluation impossible. DET offense is poor (3.0 RPG, .582 OPS) but LAA's pitching unknown creates uncertainty. Lean home with market but low confidence given model disagreement and data gap.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+112 / -134LAA / DET moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+150)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -115
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total