MLB / mlb / live
TOR 2 / DET 3TORToronto Blue Jays42%
DETDetroit Tigers58%
at Comerica Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTORAway starterTrey Yesavage
Model pickDET moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
DETHome starterBrenan Hanifee
TOR42%ML -130
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
DET58%ML +110
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#10
Total lean · analyst-timeOver
Model-market gap · analyst-time2.1 pts
Madden's MLB debut (1 GS, no seasonal stats) makes DET side unreadable. TOR offense (.786 OPS vs .582) is clearly superior but model only gives them 53% vs market's 56%. Model total 9.17 significantly above market 8.0 suggests structural miss on pitcher quality. Lean over given offensive comparison and park neutrality.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total9.2
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-130 / +110TOR / DET moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-152)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -110
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total