MLB / mlb / live
TEX 1 / DET 5TEXTexas Rangers52%
DETDetroit Tigers48%
at Comerica Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTEXAway starterKumar Rocker
Model pickTEX moneyline52%Model 20260414_1
DETHome starterKeider Montero
TEX52%ML +112
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability45%Selected moneyline pick
DET48%ML -134
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#11
Total leanNo total lean
Model-market gap7.0 pts
DET pitcher Montero has fallback data with only 4.1 IP across 10 'starts' (0.4 IP/start suggests bulk reliever usage or data error). TEX pitcher Rocker has no stats at all. Market has DET favored at 54.8%, model has TEX at 52.2% — a coin flip with no reliable pitcher context. Without starter info, cannot form a defensible view.
pitcher data fallback
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.2
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+112 / -134TEX / DET moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+158)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -115
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total