MLB / mlb / live
TEX 1 / DET 7TEXTexas Rangers59%
DETDetroit Tigers41%
at Comerica Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTEXAway starterJack Leiter
Model pickTEX moneyline59%Model 20260414_1
DETHome starterTyler Holton
TEX59%ML +100
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability48%Selected moneyline pick
DET41%ML -120
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#10
Total leanNo total lean
Model-market gap10.8 pts
Tyler Holton has 0.2 IP in 10 'starts' (likely opener role); Jack Leiter has null stats across all categories. Both pitchers effectively have no usable data. Market disagreement is large (model 58.6% TEX vs market 47.6% TEX) but without real pitcher context this is unreadable. Passing entirely.
Large model-market gapoffense defense mismatch
Projection Context
Projected margin1.1
Projected total9.2
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+100 / -120TEX / DET moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+156)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -115 / U -105
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total