MLB / mlb / live
ARI 7 / COL 2ARIArizona Diamondbacks52%
COLColorado Rockies48%
at Coors Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedARIAway starterMichael SorokaConfirmed
Model pickARI moneyline52%Model 20260921_auto
COLHome starterKyle FreelandConfirmed
ARI52%ML -181
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
COL48%ML +152
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total11.4
Market total11.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Michael SorokaARI starter / away
Projected K3.6Actual 9 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -101 draftkings / U -125 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 4.529%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.586%over
O 2.569%over
O 3.548%over
O 4.529%over
O 5.516%over
O 6.58%over
O 7.53%over
O 8.51%over
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Kyle FreelandCOL starter / home
Projected K3.9Actual 2 K / Under 2.5
Best price at 2.52.5O -125 bovada / U +101 betonlineag7 books at this line
Model over 2.573%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%over
O 2.573%under
O 3.553%under
O 4.534%under
O 5.520%under
O 6.510%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-181 / +152ARI / COL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-102)Home spread price shown for context
Total context11.0O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total