MLB / mlb / live
SEA 3 / COL 5SEASeattle Mariners57%
COLColorado Rockies43%
at Coors Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSEAAway starterBryce MillerConfirmed
Model pickSEA moneyline57%Model 20260914_auto
COLHome starterJose QuintanaConfirmed
SEA57%ML -148
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
COL43%ML +125
Projection Context
Projected margin0.9
Projected total12.0
Market total10.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Bryce MillerSEA starter / away
Projected K4.1Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +116 fanduel / U -125 betmgm7 books at this line
Model over 4.538%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%over
O 2.576%over
O 3.557%over
O 4.538%over
O 5.523%over
O 6.512%under
O 7.56%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Jose QuintanaCOL starter / home
Projected K2.9Actual 2 K / Under 2.5
Best price at 2.52.5O +125 betmgm / U -149 draftkings4 books at this line
Model over 2.555%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.578%over
O 2.555%under
O 3.533%under
O 4.517%under
O 5.58%under
O 6.53%under
O 7.51%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-148 / +125SEA / COL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-125)Home spread price shown for context
Total context10.5O -120 / U +100
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total