MLB / mlb / live
SDP 9 / COL 3SDPSan Diego Padres57%
COLColorado Rockies43%
at Coors Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSDPAway starterRobbie RayConfirmed
Model pickSDP moneyline57%Model 20260914_auto
COLHome starterMason AdamsConfirmed
SDP57%ML -172
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
COL43%ML +144
Projection Context
Projected margin1.6
Projected total11.0
Market total11.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Robbie RaySDP starter / away
Projected K4.1Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +125 betonlineag / U -136 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.538%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%over
O 2.576%over
O 3.557%over
O 4.538%over
O 5.523%over
O 6.512%under
O 7.56%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Mason AdamsCOL starter / home
Projected K4.2Actual 1 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -104 fanduel / U -115 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 3.559%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%under
O 2.578%under
O 3.559%under
O 4.540%under
O 5.525%under
O 6.514%under
O 7.57%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-172 / +144SDP / COL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-105)Home spread price shown for context
Total context11.0O -106 / U -115
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total