MLB / mlb / live
SDP 3 / COL 9SDPSan Diego Padres57%
COLColorado Rockies43%
at Coors Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSDPAway starterWalker BuehlerConfirmed
Model pickSDP moneyline57%Model 20260914_auto
COLHome starterKyle FreelandConfirmed
SDP57%ML -196
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
COL43%ML +162
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total12.2
Market total11.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Walker BuehlerSDP starter / away
Projected K3.7Actual 1 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +128 draftkings / U -142 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 3.550%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.587%under
O 2.570%under
O 3.550%under
O 4.531%under
O 5.517%under
O 6.59%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Kyle FreelandCOL starter / home
Projected K3.9Actual 1 K / Under 2.5
Best price at 2.52.5O -120 betmgm / U +117 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 2.574%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%under
O 2.574%under
O 3.554%under
O 4.535%under
O 5.520%under
O 6.511%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-196 / +162SDP / COL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (+104)Home spread price shown for context
Total context11.0O -114 / U -107
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total