MLB / mlb / live
STL 7 / COL 10STLSt. Louis Cardinals57%
COLColorado Rockies43%
at Coors Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSTLAway starterMatthew LiberatoreConfirmed
Model pickSTL moneyline57%Model 20260831_auto
COLHome starterMason AdamsConfirmed
STL57%ML -128
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
COL43%ML +108
Projection Context
Projected margin0.9
Projected total11.0
Market total10.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Matthew LiberatoreSTL starter / away
Projected K5.4Actual 3 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +118 betonlineag / U -142 fanduel5 books at this line
Model over 5.545%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.589%over
O 3.577%under
O 4.561%under
O 5.545%under
O 6.530%under
O 7.518%under
O 8.510%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Mason AdamsCOL starter / home
Projected K3.7Actual 7 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -113 fanduel / U +104 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 3.551%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%over
O 2.571%over
O 3.551%over
O 4.532%over
O 5.518%over
O 6.59%over
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-128 / +108STL / COL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-145)Home spread price shown for context
Total context10.5O -116 / U -105
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total