MLB / mlb / live
WSN 7 / COL 3WSNWashington Nationals55%
COLColorado Rockies45%
at Coors Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedWSNAway starterAndrew AlvarezConfirmed
Model pickWSN moneyline55%Model 20260720_auto
COLHome starterKyle FreelandConfirmed
WSN55%ML -133
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
COL45%ML +112
Projection Context
Projected margin1.0
Projected total9.2
Market total12.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Andrew AlvarezWSN starter / away
Projected K3.9Actual 2 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +116 betrivers / U +116 fanduel5 books at this line
Model over 4.536%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%over
O 2.574%under
O 3.555%under
O 4.536%under
O 5.521%under
O 6.511%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Kyle FreelandCOL starter / home
Projected K4.3Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +115 betmgm / U -111 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 4.542%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.579%over
O 3.561%over
O 4.542%under
O 5.526%under
O 6.515%under
O 7.58%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-133 / +112WSN / COL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-133)Home spread price shown for context
Total context12.0O -112 / U -108
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total