MLB / mlb / live
SFG 3 / COL 15SFGSan Francisco Giants56%
COLColorado Rockies44%
at Coors Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSFGAway starterLogan WebbConfirmed
Model pickSFG moneyline56%Model 20260629_auto
COLHome starterRyan FeltnerConfirmed
SFG56%ML -153
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability58%Selected moneyline pick
COL44%ML +130
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.0
Projected total10.0
Market total11.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Logan WebbSFG starter / away
Projected K4.8Actual 2 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -180 fanduel / U +140 bovada2 books at this line
Model over 4.552%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.585%under
O 3.569%under
O 4.552%under
O 5.535%under
O 6.521%under
O 7.512%under
O 8.56%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Ryan FeltnerCOL starter / home
Projected K3.6Actual 9 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +125 betonlineag / U -142 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 3.548%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.587%over
O 2.569%over
O 3.548%over
O 4.529%over
O 5.516%over
O 6.58%over
O 7.53%over
O 8.51%over
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-153 / +130SFG / COL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-120)Home spread price shown for context
Total context11.5O -108 / U -113
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total