MLB / mlb / live
SDP 10 / COL 8SDPSan Diego Padres58%
COLColorado Rockies42%
at Coors Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSDPAway starterMatt Waldron
Model pickSDP moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
COLHome starterRyan Feltner
SDP58%ML -154
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability58%Selected moneyline pick
COL42%ML +129
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst agrees with base model
AI rank#4
Total leanUnder
Model-market gap0.3 pts
Model total of 9.42 is 1.58 runs under market's 11.0 at Coors (PF 1.47). Waldron data is fallback, limiting conviction. SDP's 16-8 record vs COL's 10-15 supports away side but model underweights extreme park effect. Market knows Coors better than model's 9.42 suggests; lean under the inflated 11.0.
pitcher data fallbacktotal far from marketextreme park
Projection Context
Projected margin1.1
Projected total9.4
Market total11.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-154 / +129SDP / COL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-120)Home spread price shown for context
Total context11.0O -110 / U -110
32 books30 ML25 run line21 total