MLB / mlb / live
LAD 3 / COL 4LADLos Angeles Dodgers59%
COLColorado Rockies41%
at Coors Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLADAway starterEmmet Sheehan
Model pickLAD moneyline59%Model 20260414_1
COLHome starterRyan Feltner
LAD59%ML -303
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability72%Selected moneyline pick
COL41%ML +244
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst agrees with base model
AI rank#1
Total leanOver
Model-market gap13.5 pts
Market has LAD at 73.8% implied, model at 58.6% — a 15.2pp gap screaming market is right. Coors (PF 1.47) with Sheehan's 10.80 ERA in 3.1 IP is a real disaster setup for LAD pitching. Model total of 9.56 vs market 11.0 is a 1.44 run miss; Coors park factor dominates here. Take LAD and lean over.
Large model-market gapextreme park
Projection Context
Projected margin1.5
Projected total9.6
Market total11.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-303 / +244LAD / COL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (+148)Home spread price shown for context
Total context11.0O -118 / U -105
31 books29 ML24 run line21 total