MLB / mlb / live
TOR 6 / CLE 3TORToronto Blue Jays50%
CLECleveland Guardians50%
at Progressive Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTORAway starterJosé SorianoConfirmed
Model pickCLE moneyline50%Model 20260831_auto
CLEHome starterTanner BibeeConfirmed
TOR50%ML -109
Base model probability50%Moneyline only
CLE50%ML -109
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.1
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
José SorianoTOR starter / away
Projected K4.8Actual 2 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +140 bovada / U -170 draftkings4 books at this line
Model over 4.552%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.585%under
O 3.569%under
O 4.552%under
O 5.535%under
O 6.521%under
O 7.512%under
O 8.56%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Tanner BibeeCLE starter / home
Projected K4.5Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +135 betmgm / U -143 betonlineag5 books at this line
Model over 4.547%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.582%over
O 3.565%over
O 4.547%under
O 5.530%under
O 6.518%under
O 7.510%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-109 / -109TOR / CLE moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-182)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -111 / U -110
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total