MLB / mlb / live
TOR 11 / CLE 0TORToronto Blue Jays51%
CLECleveland Guardians49%
at Progressive Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTORAway starterDylan CeaseConfirmed
Model pickTOR moneyline51%Model 20260831_auto
CLEHome starterJoey CantilloConfirmed
TOR51%ML -132
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
CLE49%ML +112
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total9.1
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Dylan CeaseTOR starter / away
Projected K7.5Actual 4 K / Under 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O +100 fanduel / U -106 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 6.561%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.597%over
O 3.593%over
O 4.585%under
O 5.574%under
O 6.561%under
O 7.547%under
O 8.534%under
O 9.523%under
O 10.515%under
O 11.59%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Joey CantilloCLE starter / home
Projected K5.0Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +125 betonlineag / U -145 betmgm5 books at this line
Model over 4.556%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.587%over
O 3.573%over
O 4.556%over
O 5.539%over
O 6.525%under
O 7.514%under
O 8.58%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-132 / +112TOR / CLE moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-157)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -106 / U -116
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total