MLB / mlb / live
SFG 1 / CLE 8SFGSan Francisco Giants46%
CLECleveland Guardians54%
at Progressive Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSFGAway starterCarson WhisenhuntConfirmed
Model pickCLE moneyline54%Model 20260817_auto
CLEHome starterFoster GriffinConfirmed
SFG46%ML +169
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
CLE54%ML -200
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.1
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Carson WhisenhuntSFG starter / away
Projected K4.0Actual 1 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -115 bovada / U -107 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 3.555%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%under
O 2.575%under
O 3.555%under
O 4.537%under
O 5.522%under
O 6.511%under
O 7.56%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Foster GriffinCLE starter / home
Projected K5.0Actual 6 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -112 draftkings / U -105 bovada5 books at this line
Model over 5.539%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.587%over
O 3.572%over
O 4.555%over
O 5.539%over
O 6.524%under
O 7.514%under
O 8.58%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+169 / -200SFG / CLE moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+110)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -113 / U -107
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total