MLB / mlb / live
MIN 4 / CLE 13MINMinnesota Twins52%
CLECleveland Guardians48%
at Progressive Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMINAway starterJoe RyanConfirmed
Model pickMIN moneyline52%Model 20260720_auto
CLEHome starterTanner BibeeConfirmed
MIN52%ML -132
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
CLE48%ML +110
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total8.8
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Joe RyanMIN starter / away
Projected K6.6Actual 3 K / Under 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O -118 fanduel / U +110 bovada7 books at this line
Model over 6.549%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.595%over
O 3.588%under
O 4.578%under
O 5.564%under
O 6.549%under
O 7.535%under
O 8.523%under
O 9.515%under
O 10.59%under
O 11.55%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Tanner BibeeCLE starter / home
Projected K4.4Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -120 bovada / U +107 betrivers6 books at this line
Model over 4.544%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.580%over
O 3.563%over
O 4.544%over
O 5.528%under
O 6.516%under
O 7.59%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-132 / +110MIN / CLE moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-155)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -110 / U -109
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total