MLB / mlb / live
BOS 3 / CLE 4BOSBoston Red Sox45%
CLECleveland Guardians55%
at Progressive Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBOSAway starterTyler Samaniego
Model pickCLE moneyline55%Model 20260414_1
CLEHome starterSlade Cecconi
BOS45%ML +105
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability53%Selected moneyline pick
CLE55%ML -125
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total8.9
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+105 / -125BOS / CLE moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+168)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -110
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total