MLB / mlb / live
CIN 4 / CLE 7CINCincinnati Reds42%
CLECleveland Guardians58%
at Progressive Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCINAway starterChris Paddack
Model pickCLE moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
CLEHome starterJoey Cantillo
CIN42%ML +144
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
CLE58%ML -172
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+144 / -172CIN / CLE moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+120)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -110 / U -114
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total