MLB / mlb / live
LAA 2 / CLE 7LAALos Angeles Angels37%
CLECleveland Guardians63%
at Progressive Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLAAAway starterBrent Suter
Model pickCLE moneyline63%Model 20260414_1
CLEHome starterJoey Cantillo
LAA37%ML +145
Base model probability63%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability61%Selected moneyline pick
CLE63%ML -175
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#4
Total leanNo total lean
Model-market gap2.0 pts
Away pitcher is TBD with fallback stats. Cantillo has only 3.2 IP over 10 starts (injured/opener role?). Model's 8.61 total vs market 7.5 is a 1.1 run gap but with no real pitcher data on either side. Market at 61.1% CLE vs model 58.1% shows modest disagreement. Pass entirely due to pitcher uncertainty.
pitcher data fallback
Projection Context
Projected margin1.2
Projected total8.6
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+145 / -175LAA / CLE moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+125)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -115 / U -105
31 books29 ML23 run line21 total