MLB / mlb / live
BAL 2 / CLE 4BALBaltimore Orioles42%
CLECleveland Guardians58%
at Progressive Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBALAway starterShane Baz
Model pickCLE moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
CLEHome starterParker Messick
BAL42%ML +105
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
CLE58%ML -124
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total8.9
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+105 / -124BAL / CLE moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+165)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -110
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total