MLB / mlb / live
CHC 5 / CIN 2CHCChicago Cubs57%
CINCincinnati Reds43%
at Great American Ball Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHCAway starterMatthew BoydConfirmed
Model pickCHC moneyline57%Model 20260914_auto
CINHome starterNick LodoloConfirmed
CHC57%ML -146
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
CIN43%ML +123
Projection Context
Projected margin0.9
Projected total9.8
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Matthew BoydCHC starter / away
Projected K4.8
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%
O 2.584%
O 3.569%
O 4.551%
O 5.534%
O 6.521%
O 7.512%
O 8.56%
O 9.53%
O 10.51%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Nick LodoloCIN starter / home
Projected K4.6
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%
O 2.583%
O 3.567%
O 4.549%
O 5.532%
O 6.519%
O 7.511%
O 8.55%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-146 / +123CHC / CIN moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-135)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total