MLB / mlb / live
OAK 2 / CIN 3OAKOakland Athletics47%
CINCincinnati Reds53%
at Great American Ball Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedOAKAway starterJacob LopezConfirmed
Model pickCIN moneyline53%Model 20260803_auto
CINHome starterRhett LowderConfirmed
OAK47%ML +140
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
CIN53%ML -168
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total8.9
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Jacob LopezOAK starter / away
Projected K4.1Actual 9 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +116 draftkings / U -138 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 5.524%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%over
O 2.577%over
O 3.558%over
O 4.539%over
O 5.524%over
O 6.513%over
O 7.57%over
O 8.53%over
O 9.51%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Rhett LowderCIN starter / home
Projected K4.4Actual 3 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +122 betonlineag / U -151 draftkings4 books at this line
Model over 4.545%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.580%over
O 3.563%under
O 4.545%under
O 5.528%under
O 6.516%under
O 7.59%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+140 / -168OAK / CIN moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+123)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -104 / U -118
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total