MLB / mlb / live
scheduledCLECleveland Guardians55%
CINCincinnati Reds45%
at Great American Ball Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCLEAway starterJoey CantilloProbable
Model pickCLE moneyline55%Model 20260727_auto
CINHome starterBrady SingerProbable
CLE55%ML -137
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability55%Selected moneyline pick
CIN45%ML +115
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total9.9
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Joey CantilloCLE starter / away
Projected K6.6
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%
O 2.595%
O 3.588%
O 4.577%
O 5.564%
O 6.549%
O 7.535%
O 8.523%
O 9.515%
O 10.59%
O 11.55%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Rhett LowderCIN starter / home
Projected K4.4
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%
O 2.580%
O 3.563%
O 4.545%
O 5.528%
O 6.516%
O 7.59%
O 8.54%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-137 / +115CLE / CIN moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-141)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total