MLB / mlb / live
PIT 2 / CIN 3PITPittsburgh Pirates51%
CINCincinnati Reds49%
at Great American Ball Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedPITAway starterYohan RamírezConfirmed
Model pickPIT moneyline51%Model 20260727_auto
CINHome starterRhett LowderConfirmed
PIT51%ML -119
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
CIN49%ML +100
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.0
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Yohan RamírezPIT starter / awayThin data
Projected K3.7Actual 4 K
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.587%over
O 2.570%over
O 3.549%over
O 4.531%under
O 5.517%under
O 6.58%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Rhett LowderCIN starter / home
Projected K4.6Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -122 betrivers / U +110 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 4.549%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.583%over
O 3.567%over
O 4.549%over
O 5.532%under
O 6.519%under
O 7.511%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-119 / +100PIT / CIN moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-154)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -114 / U -105
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total