MLB / mlb / live
SFG 3 / CIN 0SFGSan Francisco Giants40%
CINCincinnati Reds60%
at Great American Ball Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSFGAway starterLanden Roupp
Model pickCIN moneyline60%Model 20260414_1
CINHome starterChase Burns
SFG40%ML +108
Base model probability60%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability54%Selected moneyline pick
CIN60%ML -127
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.1
Projected total8.9
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+108 / -127SFG / CIN moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+162)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -115 / U -105
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total