MLB / mlb / live
DET 1 / CHW 8DETDetroit Tigers44%
CHWChicago White Sox56%
at Rate Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedDETAway starterTroy MeltonConfirmed
Model pickCHW moneyline56%Model 20260914_auto
CHWHome starterDavis MartinConfirmed
DET44%ML +100
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
CHW56%ML -120
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.3
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Troy MeltonDET starter / away
Projected K4.4Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -121 draftkings / U +110 fanatics7 books at this line
Model over 4.545%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.580%over
O 3.563%over
O 4.545%under
O 5.528%under
O 6.516%under
O 7.59%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Davis MartinCHW starter / home
Projected K3.1Actual 6 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -108 fanduel / U -110 betmgm6 books at this line
Model over 3.537%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.580%over
O 2.559%over
O 3.537%over
O 4.520%over
O 5.510%over
O 6.54%under
O 7.52%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+100 / -120DET / CHW moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+160)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total