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MIN 1 / CHW 4
MINMinnesota Twins46%
CHWChicago White Sox54%

at Rate Field

Live MLB Moneyline

Updated
MINAway starterZebby MatthewsConfirmed
Model pickCHW moneyline54%Model 20260831_auto
CHWHome starterErick FeddeConfirmed
MIN46%ML +107
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
CHW54%ML -126

Projection Context

Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.6
Market total9.0
Total leanOver

Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.

Pitcher Strikeout Forecast

Final / frozen pregame forecast / Updated
Market
Lines
Zebby MatthewsMIN starter / away
Projected K4.7Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +100 fanatics / U -108 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.550%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.583%over
O 3.568%over
O 4.550%under
O 5.533%under
O 6.520%under
O 7.511%under
O 8.56%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.

Erick FeddeCHW starter / home
Projected K3.6Actual 2 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +140 betonlineag / U -170 bovada4 books at this line
Model over 3.549%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.587%over
O 2.569%under
O 3.549%under
O 4.530%under
O 5.517%under
O 6.58%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.

Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.

Odds & Market Context Closing odds

Market consensus+107 / -126MIN / CHW moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+156)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -118 / U -103
33 books32 ML24 run line24 total