MLB / mlb / live
HOU 4 / CHW 1HOUHouston Astros46%
CHWChicago White Sox54%
at Rate Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedHOUAway starterHunter BrownConfirmed
Model pickCHW moneyline54%Model 20260720_auto
CHWHome starterSean BurkeConfirmed
HOU46%ML +104
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
CHW54%ML -124
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total8.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Hunter BrownHOU starter / away
Projected K5.3Actual 7 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -130 betrivers / U +115 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 5.544%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.589%over
O 3.576%over
O 4.560%over
O 5.544%over
O 6.529%over
O 7.518%under
O 8.510%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Sean BurkeCHW starter / home
Projected K5.9Actual 10 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +105 betmgm / U -111 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 5.554%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.593%over
O 3.583%over
O 4.569%over
O 5.554%over
O 6.538%over
O 7.525%over
O 8.516%over
O 9.59%over
O 10.55%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 10 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+104 / -124HOU / CHW moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+165)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total