MLB / mlb / live
KCR 1 / CHW 22KCRKansas City Royals46%
CHWChicago White Sox54%
at Rate Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedKCRAway starterSteven CruzConfirmed
Model pickCHW moneyline54%Model 20260622_auto
CHWHome starterDavid SandlinConfirmed
KCR46%ML +110
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
CHW54%ML -132
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.1
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Steven CruzKCR starter / away
Projected K2.1Actual 3 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.562%over
O 2.536%over
O 3.517%under
O 4.57%under
O 5.52%under
O 6.51%under
O 7.50%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
David SandlinCHW starter / home
Projected K3.2Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +130 fanatics / U -144 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 4.522%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.582%over
O 2.561%over
O 3.539%over
O 4.522%over
O 5.511%over
O 6.55%under
O 7.52%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+110 / -132KCR / CHW moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+158)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -120 / U +100
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total