MLB / mlb / live
scheduledATLAtlanta Braves59%
CHWChicago White Sox41%
at Rate Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedATLAway starterStarter TBD
Model pickATL moneyline59%Model 20260414_1
CHWHome starterStarter TBD
ATL59%ML -120
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability52%Selected moneyline pick
CHW41%ML +100
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.4
Projected total9.3
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedLines
Martín PérezATL starter / away
Projected K4.1
Best price at 4.54.5O +120 bovada / U -150 betmgm5 books at this line
Model over 4.540%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%
O 2.577%
O 3.559%
O 4.540%
O 5.524%
O 6.513%
O 7.57%
O 8.53%
O 9.51%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Anthony KayCHW starter / home
Projected K4.1
Best price at 3.53.5O -144 fanduel / U +118 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 3.558%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%
O 2.576%
O 3.558%
O 4.539%
O 5.523%
O 6.513%
O 7.56%
O 8.53%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-120 / +100ATL / CHW moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-162)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -118 / U -105
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total