MLB / mlb / live
SEA 1 / CHW 6SEASeattle Mariners57%
CHWChicago White Sox43%
at Rate Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSEAAway starterLuis Castillo
Model pickSEA moneyline57%Model 20260414_1
CHWHome starterAnthony Kay
SEA57%ML -135
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability55%Selected moneyline pick
CHW43%ML +115
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.0
Projected total9.2
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-135 / +115SEA / CHW moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-141)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -105 / U -116
31 books29 ML25 run line22 total