MLB / mlb / live
WSN 2 / CHW 1WSNWashington Nationals42%
CHWChicago White Sox58%
at Rate Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedWSNAway starterFoster Griffin
Model pickCHW moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
CHWHome starterBryan Hudson
WSN42%ML +105
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
CHW58%ML -126
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#9
Total lean · analyst-timeNo total lean
Model-market gap · analyst-time4.7 pts
Hudson has 0.2 IP this season (13.50 ERA, 6.00 WHIP). Griffin has null stats across all metrics. Model is predicting on noise. Market has no strong lean (CHW -117 is 52.9% vs model 57.5%). With essentially zero reliable pitcher data, this is pure guesswork.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total9.4
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+105 / -126WSN / CHW moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+164)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -105 / U -115
30 books28 ML24 run line21 total