MLB / mlb / live
WSN 6 / CHW 3WSNWashington Nationals43%
CHWChicago White Sox57%
at Rate Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedWSNAway starterJake Irvin
Model pickCHW moneyline57%Model 20260414_1
CHWHome starterNoah Schultz
WSN43%ML +120
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
CHW57%ML -143
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#9
Total lean · analyst-timeNo total lean
Model-market gap · analyst-time0.5 pts
Schultz has 0.2 IP this season—fallback data means we're working blind on the home starter. Model leans CHW at 57.5% vs market 57.0%, nearly identical. WSN has superior OPS (.820 vs .729) but worse record. Irvin's 3.60 ERA in 5.0 IP is also small-sample. No comparison visible.
pitcher data fallback
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.2
Market total8.3
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+120 / -143WSN / CHW moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+145)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.3O -112 / U -111
31 books29 ML25 run line22 total