MLB / mlb / live
TBR 5 / CHW 3TBRTampa Bay Rays42%
CHWChicago White Sox58%
at Rate Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTBRAway starterSteven Matz
Model pickCHW moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
CHWHome starterJordan Leasure
TBR42%ML -130
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
CHW58%ML +110
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total8.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-130 / +110TBR / CHW moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-150)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O +100 / U -120
30 books28 ML24 run line21 total