MLB / mlb / live
ATL 4 / CHC 8ATLAtlanta Braves44%
CHCChicago Cubs56%
at Wrigley Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedATLAway starterJR RitchieConfirmed
Model pickCHC moneyline56%Model 20260914_auto
CHCHome starterShota ImanagaConfirmed
ATL44%ML +138
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
CHC56%ML -162
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total8.5
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
JR RitchieATL starter / away
Projected K3.6Actual 5 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -142 fanduel / U +125 betmgm7 books at this line
Model over 3.548%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.586%over
O 2.568%over
O 3.548%over
O 4.529%over
O 5.516%under
O 6.58%under
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Shota ImanagaCHC starter / home
Projected K5.5Actual 8 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +130 betmgm / U -163 draftkings4 books at this line
Model over 5.547%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.590%over
O 3.579%over
O 4.564%over
O 5.547%over
O 6.532%over
O 7.520%over
O 8.512%under
O 9.56%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+138 / -162ATL / CHC moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+136)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML24 run line24 total