MLB / mlb / live
MIL 3 / CHC 17MILMilwaukee Brewers47%
CHCChicago Cubs53%
at Wrigley Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMILAway starterKyle HarrisonConfirmed
Model pickCHC moneyline53%Model 20260831_auto
CHCHome starterClay HolmesConfirmed
MIL47%ML -108
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
CHC53%ML -108
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total9.1
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Kyle HarrisonMIL starter / away
Projected K5.1Actual 3 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +120 bovada / U -132 betrivers6 books at this line
Model over 5.539%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.587%over
O 3.573%under
O 4.556%under
O 5.539%under
O 6.525%under
O 7.515%under
O 8.58%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Clay HolmesCHC starter / home
Projected K4.4Actual 8 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +135 betonlineag / U -156 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.545%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.581%over
O 3.564%over
O 4.545%over
O 5.529%over
O 6.517%over
O 7.59%over
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-108 / -108MIL / CHC moneyline
Run line context1.0 (-155)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -105 / U -116
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total