MLB / mlb / live
CIN 10 / CHC 8CINCincinnati Reds46%
CHCChicago Cubs54%
at Wrigley Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCINAway starterRhett LowderConfirmed
Model pickCHC moneyline54%Model 20260824_auto
CHCHome starterDavid PetersonConfirmed
CIN46%ML +166
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
CHC54%ML -196
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total8.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Rhett LowderCIN starter / away
Projected K4.1Actual 5 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -121 draftkings / U +118 betrivers7 books at this line
Model over 3.558%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%over
O 2.577%over
O 3.558%over
O 4.539%over
O 5.524%under
O 6.513%under
O 7.56%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
David PetersonCHC starter / home
Projected K5.3Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -147 betonlineag / U +118 betrivers5 books at this line
Model over 4.561%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.589%over
O 3.577%over
O 4.561%over
O 5.544%over
O 6.529%under
O 7.518%under
O 8.510%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+166 / -196CIN / CHC moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+104)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -120 / U +100
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total